Jefferson

• Tonight

  44°low

  Mostly Clear

  Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

  Wind NE 2 to 6 mph

• Saturday

  62°high

  Partly Sunny

  Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

  Wind SE 2 to 6 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Saturday Night

  44°low

  Cloudy

  Cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

  Wind SE 5 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Sunday

  60°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

  Wind SE 3 to 7 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Sunday Night

  42°low

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

  Wind SE 3 mph · 9% chance of precipitation

• Monday

  61°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61.

  Wind SE 2 to 6 mph · 11% chance of precipitation

• Monday Night

  46°low

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.

  Wind SE 5 mph · 3% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday

  62°high

  Partly Sunny

  Partly sunny, with a high near 62.

  Wind SE 5 to 8 mph · 9% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday Night

  52°low

  Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  Wind SE 7 to 12 mph · 25% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday

  63°high

  Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  Wind SE 7 to 10 mph · 54% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday Night

  54°low

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  Wind SE 8 mph · 65% chance of precipitation

• Thursday

  65°high

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  Wind S 7 mph · 65% chance of precipitation

• Thursday Night

  49°low

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind W 3 to 9 mph · 57% chance of precipitation

• Friday

  62°high

  Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.

  Wind NW 8 mph · 30% chance of precipitation

The reasoning behind the forecast, in the forecaster’s own words. In this region the elevation detail that never reaches a point forecast usually shows up here.

000
FXUS61 KRNK 301739
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
139 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Raised temperatures slightly this afternoon through tonight to 
match observations and new model guidance. 

Afternoon aviation update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Warm and quiet weather today, clouds and more seasonable 
temperatures return for the weekend into early next week. 

2) Next chance of rain will be mid to late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1: Warm and quiet weather today, clouds and more 
seasonable temperatures return for the weekend into early next week. 

A large surface high is ridging into the area from the Upper 
Midwest, while an upper-level ridge is across the Southeastern US. 
This combination is keeping mostly clear skies and well above normal 
temperatures across the area today. Highs are expected to reach into 
the 70s for the mountains and into the low 80s for the Piedmont. A 
dry cold front will sweep through this afternoon and evening, 
which will keep breezy conditions in place with gusts up to 20 
mph. Behind the front, temperatures will drop around 10-15 
degrees for tomorrow, returning to around normal for this time 
of year. Clouds will also increase late tomorrow afternoon, as 
an inverted trough forms along the Ohio River Valley. Halloween 
night will be dry and seasonable, though heavy cloud cover and 
light winds will add to the spookiness. 

High pressure will "wedge" in east of the Appalachians this
weekend, but temperatures will still remain around normal due 
to the flow coming off of the Atlantic Ocean rather than from the
Northeast. The clouds stick around through the weekend and into
early next week, with temperatures remaining slightly above 
normal. 


KEY MESSAGE 2: Next chance of rain will be mid to late next week.

The dry weather is expected to continue through at least 
Tuesday, which would be the 17th consecutive day with no 
rainfall across most of the area. While that is nowhere near a 
record, it is noteworthy. The system that was expected to impact
our area early next week is expected to remain off to our 
south. Rain chances slightly increase on Wednesday, with a better
chance on Thursday. 

A large upper-level trough will dive down across the central 
CONUS, and move east into our area. Models are beginning to hint
at the system weakening as it arrives, though confidence this 
far out remains low. In addition, the synoptic setup could be 
quite complex, as there may be an additional offshore low 
pressure system that could affect the approaching system from 
the west. Regardless, mid to late next week is likely to be the
best chance of rain in the last three weeks. The system moves
through and out of the area by next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions look to remain across all terminals as a much drier 
airmass has started to move into the area. These dry conditions will 
keep any fog and low stratus from developing across the region 
through the TAF period. By the end of the TAF period, some upper 
level cirrus looks to push into the area; however, operationally 
this will have no impact on any terminals. Winds will predominantly 
remain out of the northwest today at around 5-10 knots with gusts up 
to 20 knots through 00 UTC; however, a wind shift to out of the 
northeast for LYH, DAN, ROA, and BCB is expected by 12-15 UTC 
Saturday. Both LWB and BLF look to transition to an easterly/ 
southeasterly by the 12-15 UTC timeframe as well. 

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Cloud cover will steadily increase over the weekend, though ceiling 
bases will hold above 10kft, preserving favorable VFR flight 
conditions through Sunday. By the middle of next week, the upper-
level flow pattern will amplify significantly, spawning a sizable 
storm system across the central continental United States with 
restrictions likely to develop across the area. 

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JCB
AVIATION...EB