Lake Lure

• Tonight

  67°low

  Partly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. North wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  Wind N 0 to 5 mph · 36% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday

  84°high

  Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny

  A chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. East northeast wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  Wind ENE 2 to 6 mph · 33% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday Night

  64°low

  Partly Cloudy

  Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Northeast wind around 1 mph.

  Wind NE 1 mph · 3% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday

  88°high

  Sunny

  Sunny, with a high near 88. East wind 0 to 3 mph.

  Wind E 0 to 3 mph · 3% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday Night

  63°low

  Clear

  Clear, with a low around 63. East northeast wind around 2 mph.

  Wind ENE 2 mph · 3% chance of precipitation

• Thursday

  89°high

  Sunny

  Sunny, with a high near 89.

  Wind E 0 to 3 mph · 7% chance of precipitation

• Thursday Night

  64°low

  Mostly Clear

  Mostly clear, with a low around 64.

  Wind NNW 1 mph · 6% chance of precipitation

• Friday

  92°high

  Sunny

  Sunny, with a high near 92.

  Wind S 2 mph · 9% chance of precipitation

• Friday Night

  66°low

  Clear

  Clear, with a low around 66.

  Wind WNW 1 mph · 9% chance of precipitation

• Saturday

  91°high

  Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 91.

  Wind SSW 0 to 3 mph · 21% chance of precipitation

• Saturday Night

  67°low

  Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Clear

  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 67.

  Wind W 2 mph · 21% chance of precipitation

• Sunday

  91°high

  Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  Wind SSW 2 mph · 39% chance of precipitation

• Sunday Night

  67°low

  Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  Wind WSW 2 mph · 39% chance of precipitation

• Monday

  85°high

  Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

  A slight chance of rain showers before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 85.

  Wind SW 1 to 6 mph · 61% chance of precipitation

The reasoning behind the forecast, in the forecaster’s own words. In this region the elevation detail that never reaches a point forecast usually shows up here.

000
FXUS62 KGSP 142334
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
734 PM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Rain chances were increased for tonight, especially along the 
escarpment and foothills.

The aviation discussion was updated for the 00z TAFs.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Relatively warm late summer weather will persist through the
week, with low risk for significant weather.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key message 1: Relatively warm late summer weather will persist
through the week, with low risk for significant weather.

The weather is still looking fairly quiet thru the week with a
fairly low chance for any high impact weather. We have a back-door 
cold front moving down from the north later this afternoon/evening
which could help produce a few showers, but that's about it.  

An upper ridge builds eastward over our region over the next 24 
to 48 hrs and helps keep the convective environment generally 
unfavorable/suppressed with most of the area remaining dry. With
the fropa later in the day today, we get one more hot day with 
high temps 5 to 10 degrees above normal. We still have the poten-
tial for some weak, dry, cold air damming as broad surface high 
pressure moves from New England on Tuesday to a position off the 
coast of New England and the Maritime Provinces on Wed. There 
could be some shallow moisture within the ELY low-level flow on 
Tues that helps keep temperatures around normal with some increase 
in low clouds, but there will be minimal forcing for precip and 
any appreciable moisture doesn't hang around for long. This should 
result in temps warming back above normal on Wed, with highs back 
in the lower 90s east of the mtns by the end of the week. As the 
airmass modifies and warms, we expect a return of high elevation 
scattered diurnal showers and thunderstorms from Thurs thru next 
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: The forecast stratus off VFR at all terminals 
as a backdoor cold front approaches from the northeast. As the front 
pushes into the area overnight, a plume of moisture will pool ahead 
of the boundary and help to promote the development of at least 
isolated showers along with low stratus. TEMPO groups have 
introduced to account for any associated restrictions. Showers 
should dissipate within several hours of sunrise along with lifting 
and scattering of any low stratus. This will bring a return to VFR 
conditions by mid to late morning. Winds will be out of the 
northeast and could be as high as 9-12kts with a few isolated low-
end gusts not out of the question. Winds will relax through the 
afternoon behind the front.

Outlook: Mostly dry conditions are expected to persist through the 
middle of the week. Shower chances and associated restrictions 
increase later in the week. Mountain valley fog and low stratus is 
possible each morning through the week.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

$$

JPT/TW