Murphy

• Tonight

  53°low

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind around 0 mph.

  Wind 0 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Saturday

  71°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

  Wind SE 0 to 10 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Saturday Night

  49°low

  Cloudy

  Cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

  Wind SE 5 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Sunday

  64°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

  Wind SE 5 mph · 13% chance of precipitation

• Sunday Night

  47°low

  Cloudy

  Cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph.

  Wind E 5 mph · 14% chance of precipitation

• Monday

  66°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. East wind around 5 mph.

  Wind E 5 mph · 12% chance of precipitation

• Monday Night

  49°low

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

  Wind SE 5 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday

  69°high

  Partly Sunny

  Partly sunny, with a high near 69.

  Wind SE 5 to 10 mph · 2% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday Night

  56°low

  Slight Chance Rain Showers

  A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  Wind SE 10 mph · 21% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday

  67°high

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind SE 10 mph · 55% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday Night

  55°low

  Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  Rain showers likely before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind SE 0 to 10 mph · 55% chance of precipitation

• Thursday

  68°high

  Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  Wind SW 0 to 5 mph · 54% chance of precipitation

• Thursday Night

  49°low

  Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  Wind NW 0 to 5 mph · 39% chance of precipitation

• Friday

  64°high

  Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers

  A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 64.

  Wind NW 0 to 5 mph · 20% chance of precipitation

The reasoning behind the forecast, in the forecaster’s own words. In this region the elevation detail that never reaches a point forecast usually shows up here.

000
FXUS64 KMRX 302336
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
736 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 734 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

- Medium chance of light rain in the southern Plateau and 
  southern TN Valley on Sunday and Sunday night; most of the area 
  stays dry.

- Dry and mild weather for the first couple of days next week.

- Increasing chances of rain and gusty mountain winds around mid
  week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 112 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

A mid/upper ridge over the area today will slowly shift east
tonight, bringing increasing high clouds ahead of a shortwave
trough over the Plains. Some light precip with this trough will
enter our southwest counties late Saturday night to early Sunday
morning. Moistening of the column will be from the top down, but
most of the area will maintain a dry layer beneath ~700 mb. Only
the southern Plateau and southern Valley are expected to see any
measurable precip on Sunday (only a couple hundredths), with only
virga or a few sprinkles elsewhere. 

An increasingly amplified pattern develops early next week, with a
ridge east of the MS River and a deep trough over the Plains. This
will provide dry and mild weather for Monday and Tuesday, with
rain chances returning Wednesday as the trough shifts east of the
MS River. This has the potential to be a dynamic system, as it
develops a negative tilt and favorable upper jet positioning to
enhance QG forcing. A couple possible impacts to watch for with 
this system may be mountain wave winds, possibly starting Tuesday 
night, and a QLCS along the cold front Wednesday/Wednesday night 
(instability will be a limiting factor for the severe potential). 
At the least, it could bring some beneficial rainfall to help 
mitigate the drought conditions. Confidence this far out remains
too low to highlight any specific impacts in the HWO, but the 
wording will be changed to "low probability". 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 734 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with increasing
BKN/OVC high level clouds overnight into Saturday. The increasing
high clouds will lead to poor radiational cooling, thus,
inhibiting fog development for Saturday morning. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             57  76  57  65 /   0   0  20  40 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  55  77  56  69 /   0   0   0  10 
Oak Ridge, TN                       55  75  56  68 /   0   0   0  20 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              49  73  51  69 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DGS
AVIATION...KRS