Rutherfordton

• Today

  84°high

  Slight Chance Light Rain then Partly Sunny

  A slight chance of rain before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  Wind NE 2 to 7 mph · 24% chance of precipitation

• Tonight

  63°low

  Partly Cloudy

  Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northeast wind around 2 mph.

  Wind NE 2 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday

  88°high

  Sunny

  Sunny, with a high near 88. East southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.

  Wind ESE 1 to 5 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday Night

  62°low

  Mostly Clear

  Mostly clear, with a low around 62. East northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.

  Wind ENE 0 to 3 mph

• Thursday

  90°high

  Sunny

  Sunny, with a high near 90. East southeast wind around 2 mph.

  Wind ESE 2 mph · 9% chance of precipitation

• Thursday Night

  64°low

  Mostly Clear

  Mostly clear, with a low around 64.

  Wind NE 2 mph · 8% chance of precipitation

• Friday

  91°high

  Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  Wind NE 2 mph · 31% chance of precipitation

• Friday Night

  66°low

  Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  Wind N 2 mph · 29% chance of precipitation

• Saturday

  88°high

  Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.

  Wind ENE 3 mph · 21% chance of precipitation

• Saturday Night

  66°low

  Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy

  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66.

  Wind NE 2 mph · 21% chance of precipitation

• Sunday

  89°high

  Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

  Wind SW 0 to 3 mph · 23% chance of precipitation

• Sunday Night

  66°low

  Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  Wind WSW 2 mph · 25% chance of precipitation

• Monday

  86°high

  Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

  A slight chance of rain showers between 8am and 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind WSW 0 to 5 mph · 62% chance of precipitation

• Monday Night

  64°low

  Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

  Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.

  Wind WNW 3 mph · 62% chance of precipitation

The reasoning behind the forecast, in the forecaster’s own words. In this region the elevation detail that never reaches a point forecast usually shows up here.

000
FXUS62 KGSP 151055
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
655 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made to the forecast.

The aviation discussion was updated for the 12z TAFs.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Warm late summer weather will continue, with shower and
thunderstorm chances increasing through the weekend. The risk
for impactful weather appears low until we get to early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key message 1: Warm late summer weather will continue, with shower
and thunderstorm chances increasing through the weekend. The risk
for impactful weather appears low until we get to early next week.

Through the morning hours, the development of an easterly low
level flow behind the back door cold front, now well to our south,
should result in the development of cloudiness and a few showers
starting near the Blue Ridge Escarpment and spreading outward
from there. The evening shift raised precip chances over the NC
foothills and they might have to be raised a bit more, but at
least any rain should be beneficial.

A fairly interesting, but ultimately benign, slow evolution of
the weather pattern is expected over the next week or so. The
mid/upper anticyclone over the TN Valley region this morning should
drift back to the west slowly through Wednesday night, but with
a ridge axis extending across the central Appalachians to the
Mid-Atlantic. This will continue to support a weak elongated sfc
high off the Mid-Atlantic to New England coastal region that will
more or less maintain the weak and dry cold air damming regime of
sorts over our region. The effect will be minimal as moisture is
lacking and support for precip is also lacking. So, as temps cool
back down close to normal for today, in part due to an expected
late start with some morning clouds and a few showers, that won't
last long. Air mass modification will allow for a steady increase
in high temps through the week, back up into the 90s by Thursday
and Friday. We aren't done with summer yet. By Thursday we get
right back to the summertime climo precip probs with chances over
the mtns, and the precip probs expand outward and upward each day
through the weekend. None of this looks terribly significant at
this point.

Once we get into early next week, the situation may change a bit
depending on what happens with a weak mid-level low that tracks
westward across the FL peninsula and then possibly stalls over the
nrn Gulf Coast on Monday. At a minimum, better moisture flux from
either the Atlantic or the Gulf is expected by Monday, so precip
probs increase accordingly. Confidence is too low out on the Day
6-7 periods, but suffice to say the threat for excessive rain will
start to creep upward.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Stratus has already developed over portions
of the area as a backdoor front slides further south from the 
region. Cloud bases have lowered to MVFR, with sporadic IFR 
possible. Placed a prevailing line for MVFR cigs at all TAF sites, 
but confidence is too low for an IFR mention at this time. Can't 
rule out an isolated shower at through mid-morning, but confidence 
is too low for a TAF mention at this time. The low stratus will 
gradually lift and scatter out late this morning into the early 
afternoon. This will bring a return to VFR conditions by this time, 
with some lingering VFR cu and mid to high clouds around through the 
afternoon and evening. Winds are mostly east to northeasterly at 5-
10 kts and could get as high as 8-12 kts around daybreak before 
losing steam by this afternoon behind the front. Guidance has hinted 
at possible stratus overnight again across portions of the area, 
which could lead to some instances of restrictions, mainly over KAVL 
and possibly the Upstate sites.

Outlook: Mostly dry conditions are expected to persist through the
middle of the week. Shower chances and associated restrictions
increase later in the week. Mountain valley fog and low stratus
is possible each morning through the week.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

$$

CAC/PM