Sylva

• Overnight

  48°low

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. East wind around 1 mph.

  Wind E 1 mph

• Saturday

  69°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

  Wind SE 3 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Saturday Night

  44°low

  Cloudy

  Cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind around 2 mph.

  Wind SE 2 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Sunday

  64°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. East southeast wind around 2 mph.

  Wind ESE 2 mph · 9% chance of precipitation

• Sunday Night

  44°low

  Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers

  A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 44. East southeast wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  Wind ESE 2 mph · 18% chance of precipitation

• Monday

  64°high

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64.

  Wind SE 2 mph · 12% chance of precipitation

• Monday Night

  47°low

  Mostly Cloudy

  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

  Wind ESE 3 mph · 1% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday

  66°high

  Partly Sunny

  Partly sunny, with a high near 66.

  Wind ESE 5 mph · 7% chance of precipitation

• Tuesday Night

  53°low

  Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  Wind ESE 8 mph · 25% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday

  66°high

  Chance Rain Showers

  A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  Wind SE 6 mph · 53% chance of precipitation

• Wednesday Night

  54°low

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind SE 5 mph · 55% chance of precipitation

• Thursday

  67°high

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind SSW 3 mph · 55% chance of precipitation

• Thursday Night

  49°low

  Rain Showers Likely

  Rain showers likely before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  Wind WNW 2 mph · 55% chance of precipitation

• Friday

  64°high

  Slight Chance Rain Showers

  A slight chance of rain showers between 7am and 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 64.

  Wind WNW 3 mph · 16% chance of precipitation

The reasoning behind the forecast, in the forecaster’s own words. In this region the elevation detail that never reaches a point forecast usually shows up here.

000
FXUS62 KGSP 310441
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1241 AM EDT Sat Oct 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast.

Updated the aviation discussion for the 06Z TAF issuance.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Cooler high temperatures return this weekend into early next
week as cold air damming develops. Temperatures very gradually
rebound through midweek ahead of the next frontal system.
2. Rain chances return middle of next week as a low pressure
system approaches out of the west.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key message 1: Cooler high temperatures return this weekend into
early next week as cold air damming develops. Temperatures very
gradually rebound through midweek ahead of the next frontal system.

Backdoor cold front will slip across the CWA tonight as a stout
continental surface high (~1030mb) moves towards the northeastern
CONUS. In this case, cooler, drier air will filter into the
low-levels and allow afternoon highs to settle at or slightly above
normal for today, with some low-end gusts from the northeast. At the
same time, an open shortwave will traverse east of the MS Valley
today and move towards the OH/TN Valleys and Southeast Sunday
into Monday. An increase of upper/mid-level clouds will roam the
skies during this time frame. Stout low-level dry air will keep
the better moisture transport to the south while the associated
forcing for ascent from the shortwave remains weak. Deterministic
and ensemble guidance continue to show a mostly dry solution,
keeping the deeper moisture shunted closer to the Gulf Coast and
Florida. Very few ensemble members from the deterministic models
depict measurable rainfall across portions of the CWA. As a result,
mentionable PoPs are just about completely out of the forecast
for late Sunday into Monday. Some of the run to run trends in the
deterministic models show blips of precip, across portions of the
CWA. However, confidence is too low to pinpoint exactly where in
the aforementioned areas would likely receive any precipitation,
so the current PoP forecast looks good, with isolated coverage
expected. CAD is expected to be fully entrenched across the area
on Sunday, leading to the coolest day of the forecast period,
with most locations being at or slightly below normal for afternoon
highs. Any lingering wedge should gradually erode through early next
week, allowing temperatures to gradually rebound each day through
Wednesday during the new workweek to slightly above normal values.


Key message 2: Rain chances return middle of next week as a low
pressure system approaches out of the west.

The next mid/upper trough will be in the midst of moving across
the western CONUS Sunday and propagate to the central CONUS Monday
and Tuesday, while most of the guidance closes off into a low as
it marches east. At the surface, a deepening cyclone will develop
over the Central Plains, while a secondary low forms over the
Southern Plains and lower half of the MS Valley. An attendant
cold front will move east across these same areas as well. Ahead
of this system, the surface high over the northeast moves over
the northwestern Atlantic, while southerly return flow brings a
better moisture transport into the CWA, ahead of the system. The
overall timing and synoptic progression still differs amongst
all guidance, but there is decent agreement for at least some
precipitation by midweek next week. Severe weather can't be ruled
out with this setup as deep layer flow will be enhanced. However,
guidance only shows meager instability, if any at all as the cold
front slides across the CWA Wednesday into Thursday. Details in
regards to this frontal system is still too far out for specifics.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals 
through the TAF period. High clouds will continue to stream across 
the region as a backdoor cold front pushes through from the 
northeast. Winds will be out of the northeast behind the front with 
low-end gusts expected at most terminals through the afternoon 
hours. Light winds returning overnight into early Sunday morning.

Outlook: Mostly dry and VFR through Tuesday. Cannot entirely rule 
out restrictions early next week but confidence is low. Otherwise, 
rain and associated restrictions should return middle of next week. 
With cloud cover expected this weekend into much of next week, 
mountain valley fog formation should remain limited.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

$$

CAC/TW